Looking to the future

Ok, so it’s only November, but as 2025 draws to a close, it’s clear that the UK insurance industry is ending the year facing one of its greatest ongoing challenges: the evolution of fraud.

Rising living costs, organised criminal networks and the rapid spread of deep-fake and automation technologies have reshaped deception itself. Fraud has become faster, smarter and more coordinated. Yet the industry’s response has evolved too, combining data, collaboration and investigative intelligence in ways that are beginning to shift the balance.

Here at DLB Investigations, we’ve also had a defining year. Our investigators have seen first-hand how the fraud landscape has matured; how opportunistic misrepresentation has given way to complex, multi-layered deception; and how organised networks now exploit every channel, from digital claims to AI-generated identities.

The solution, as always, lies in expertise, knowing how to spot a “wrong ’un,” how to gather and interpret evidence, connect the dots and act decisively.

 

A growing threat in numbers and sophistication

The statistics tell the story. Allianz Insurance uncovered more than 15,800 fraudulent cases worth £92.6 million in the first half of 2025, a 34% increase on the previous year. Aviva identified over 6,000 false claims worth more than £60 million, equivalent to £334,000 in fraud prevented every day.

The Association of British Insurers (ABI) warns that many cases still go undetected, meaning the real impact is significantly higher. Fraud has moved beyond being a background risk; it’s now a systemic issue affecting underwriting accuracy, claims handling and, potentially, public trust in the sector.

The firms that succeed will be those that not only invest in technology but also know how to turn raw information into actionable intelligence. Thankfully, it’s a philosophy we adopted long ago.

 

Fraud in 2025: trends from the front line

From our perspective, several clear trends have defined 2025.

Ghost broking and policy manipulation continue to proliferate, with organised groups repeatedly amending online applications to bypass detection. Unsuspecting drivers are left with worthless documents and no valid cover. Short term or temporary policies are also a growing area of deceit, with policyholders ‘gaming’ the system at scale.

Claims inflation and staged collisions remain widespread. One insurer has recently reported a surge in exaggerated losses once liability is accepted, while another recently exposed a case where a moped rider deliberately collided with a parked car and blamed the parked car! Comedy Gold, we would all no doubt agree, but the reality is that some of these types of claims are being paid, due to system error or a lack of human scrutiny.

Another growth area is Identity fraud, which has risen sharply. The Cifas Fraudscape update recorded more than 118,000 identity-fraud cases in just six months. Deep-fake technology now allows criminals to create convincing synthetic identities capable of passing basic verification checks. With some foresight, we embedded ID verification, document authentication and behavioural pattern analysis some time ago. It’s helping our insurer clients counter this new and growing form of deception.

Even at a lower level, misrepresentation and non-disclosure continue to erode trust. What some policyholders view as harmless omissions can still void an entire policy. Investigators now need to balance fairness with vigilance, distinguishing between honest error and deliberate deceit.

 

A coordinated industry response

The response from insurers has been determined and technologically ambitious. Machine learning and voice analytics now flag anomalies in real time. Aviva’s dedicated fraud-prevention team has secured more than 32 years of custodial and suspended sentences this year. The Insurance Fraud Bureau (IFB) launched its five-year Connected to Protect strategy to strengthen data-sharing across the market.

These initiatives demonstrate how technology can transform fraud prevention, but they also highlight the need for professional judgement. Algorithms can identify patterns; investigators interpret what those patterns mean.

Our role sits precisely at that intersection. We combine the analytical precision of data science with the human understanding of motive, opportunity and behaviour. In today’s environment, an investigation partner cannot simply be ‘boots on the ground’. They must be a hybrid of software, analytics, knowledge and experience to truly make a difference.

 

Intelligence that delivers results

Information, no matter how advanced, achieves little if it remains isolated. We always aim to ensure that intelligence gathered during cases is shared, within the boundaries of legal and client confidentiality with insurers, brokers and, where appropriate, law enforcement partners.

This active flow of intelligence allows insurers to refine underwriting models, enhance predictive systems and react quickly to emerging fraud types.

We also continue to advocate for a broader, more inclusive intelligence-sharing framework. At present, IFB membership is primarily restricted to insurers and large stakeholders. Opening access to accredited investigative firms would enrich the collective dataset, improve detection rates and build a stronger, industry-wide defence against organised fraud.

 

Innovation for 2026 and beyond

Our investigative strategy is not limited to responding to current threats. We are constantly investing in technology designed to change how intelligence is gathered and shared in real time. Right now, we have a suite of proprietary investigative tools with built-in networking capability in development. This technology will allow us and network partners to connect across cases instantly, compare behavioural data and identify emerging fraud patterns as they happen.

When deployed in Q1 2026, we anticipate it will enable near-real-time collaboration across the network and create a secure foundation of evidence for every claim. The result will be earlier detection, richer case intelligence and, what we like to call, ‘FOS-proof’ repudiations for our insurers clients.

 

Looking ahead

As the industry prepares for 2026, the challenge of fraud remains formidable, but so does the progress being made. The collaboration between insurers, investigative specialists and technology providers is stronger than at any time in recent memory.

The next stage will be defined by speed, connectivity and the ability to transform intelligence into action before losses occur.

DLB is proud to stand at the forefront of that transformation. By combining investigative excellence, technological innovation and a commitment to ethical practice, we will continue to help insurers protect what truly matters: the integrity of the UK insurance market and the trust of the people it serves.

David Booker M.A